This looks a tough race. Personally, I see that HAND PAINTED has dropped to OR67 from a high of OR76 despite running consistently well last season and over the winter. He would be my eachway pick.
Unfortunately Equulous Pictor could only finish 4th and with two Non Runners we just miss out on a place and we were pipped by Wayward Lad's ew selection Hand Painted. The winner though looked to be in a different class and he will feature in next weeks Up a bit, down a bit post.
Robert Gibb's blog at http://becherbrook.blogspot.com really hit the nail on the head! He spotted that the winner Spanish Bounty had dropped from OR90 last season to OR75 - yet he'd been running on unsuitable soft going! As he usually improves for a run, he could be one to follow-up.