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Saturday 5 January 2013

Coral Welsh National

Having watched the Morning Line and read the Racing Post you would think there was only 1 horse in the Welsh National - Teaforthree, but there are 17 other runners and 3m 5 1/2 furlongs and a number of fences to negotiate.
Jumping is one of the main reasons put up for the favs chance but with a couple of the fences to be ommitted on each circuit that may equal up any advantage he has in that sphere. He has been trained for the race and the champion jockey is up but I think there maybe some value to be had with others particularly as there are 4 places to be filled.
Soll ran a good race on his first start for Jo Hughes in the Hennessy on only his seventh start and that is just as good form as the fav who was only 2 places in front of him in that race and 12/1 is better than 5/2. He is sure to come on from that run as his trainer comments in todays RP that he wasnt 100% fit plus he will have no problem with the heavy going and it's all down to whether he will stay the marathon trip. On that front Mullins had him in the 4m at Cheltenham when he was brought down and Jo Hughes says he is an out and out galloper so it looks like that wont be a problem either.
Across The Bay is owned by The Scotch Piper in Lydiate just up the road from me and it would be a fantastic achievement if he could win off 11-12. He is another out and out galloper and I'm sure he will be up at the front all the way and he could easily pick up some place money at an ew price.

Over at Sandown in the Tolworth I'm going with Hendersons Royal Boy who should be able to turn the form around with Melodic Rendevous on his way to Cheltenham.

Fruity O'Rooney 7th In the Hennessy will find the 3.40 at Sandown much easier and he can dominate from the front.