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Tuesday 23 January 2018

Don't be Fooled!

Southwell stages a Class 2 sprint this afternoon at 3.05 in which 8 go to post and of those only 5 have run here before and it usually pays to follow course form at this track.

Robot Boy, Compas Scoobie and Shamshom are the three having their debuts at the track. 

Robot Boy usually runs well on his second start after a break - 72121 and he returned at Chelmsford last time out after 117 day break to finish 5th behind Udontdodou albeit he wasn't really pushed there and he can go close.
Poyle Vinnie is now 2lb lower in the ratings than when he won this race last season in a time of 58.09s carrying 8-13-however he returns off a 115 day break and his form after a break reads 0737 so although he may run well he'll probably need the run.
Compas Scoobie has only had the 20 starts so is still open to improvement compared to some of these battle hardened performers but you would need to see how he handles the surface before risking any cash.
Midnight Malibu won here last time out and is 2-2 at the track so clearly handles it. His times for those wins were 57.82 and 58.44 and he should be bang there at the finish.
Tricky Dicky has run here 5 times (11222) but all runs were over 6f and he may be a bit outpaced on the straight track but will be staying on.
Classic Pursuit may struggle here.
Shamshom has not run here before and doesn't appear to be in the best form.
That leaves Foolaad who at 7 is still improving having only had 19 starts. He started last season off  a handicap mark of 64 and he is now on 88. He put up his best performance yet last time out when winning over this course and distance by an eased down one and a half lengths and in doing so recorded a hand time of 57.55s whilst carrying 9-12. He's gone up 6lb for that and he carries 8-11 today so he should in theory be able to record a similar time or better which would be good enough to win this in my view with further improvement likely over this distance.

Foolaad - 1 point win @ 4/1 with several bookmakers.

Exacta Picks - Foolaad, Midnight Malibu, Robot Boy.