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Friday 16 September 2011

You can rain on my Parade !

Well today's races gave us a few clues in that you need to be drawn near the rail on either side and its probably better to be up with the pace. Plenty of rain hit the track this afternoon and looking on the rainfall radar site there is some more to come by the looks of it and it will hit the west coast.
I think you should be looking for horses who like some cut as Esprit De Midas who needs just that ran well to finish second today in the Bronze Cup.
Looking at the Silver Cup, some of those drawn near the rail on each side and who have shown a preference for soft are :-
23 - ELUSIVE PRINCE - Won on Good to Soft LTO and still on same mark
22 - MIRZA - Acts on Soft, beaten by last years winner last time out.
21 - CHEVETON - Loves Soft, 5lb below last winning mark.
7 - SIOUX RISING - Ran well on Good to Soft LTO and just in front of Jeannie Galloway, 2nd in Bronze
4 - BERTIEWHITTLE - Won on Soft, stays 7f, Fran Berry booked
3 - PARISIAN PYRAMID - Ran ok with cut in ground
1 - EDINBURGH KNIGHT - Won on Good to Soft, travels well, still feasibly weighted and lightly raced.
Of the others you would have to be looking at Fathsta who is very consistent in this type of race, he is well weighted on his soft ground form and De Sousa always gets a good tune out of him and Nasri who David Nicholls is very keen on and would probably have been very dissapointed he didnt make the Gold Cup and his horses always run well here as we saw yesterday.
Any of these could win though and my shortlist would be Edinburgh Knight, Fathsta, Cheveton and Sioux Rising.
The Gold Cup gets underway at 3.20 and doing the same again in this race ie highlighting the ones with chances near each rail and a liking for soft we have the following :-
27 - REGAL PARADE - Winner of 2 Group 1's on Good to Soft, stays 7f, choice of Adrian Nicholls.
25 - ANNE OF KIEV - 4th on Soft in Wokingham, 3lb lower now.
23 - BELOW ZERO - Won on Soft, Fran Berry won on him twice recently and rides again.
22 - PASTORAL PLAYER - 3rd on Soft in Wokingham behind Deacon Blues and Waffle, 2lb lower.
7 - CROISULTAN - Irish raider, form on Soft/Heavy, ran well LTO behind Bewitched and Definightly.
5 - MAYSON - Won on Good to Soft, choice of Hanagan and ran well LTO.
4 - KALDOUN KINGDOM - Won Silver Cup in 2009, ran well last time and back after break.
1 - CASTLES IN THE AIR - Stays 7f and 5lb below last winning mark.
Of the others you would have to be looking at Macs Power, Hawkeyethenoo, Eton Rifles and Waffle and my shortlist of 4 would be Regal Parade, Pastoral Player, Croisultan and Waffle.
There's the small matter of a Group 3 over at Newbury but its a Group 1 in all but name, Deacon Blues has risen through the ranks and was simply blistering last time in Ireland and if he comes here in the same mood its hard to see him getting beat, but he has a good oppo in Night Carnation.