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Thursday, 27 March 2014
Big Weekend Ahead !
With the going looking likely to change to something with Soft involved it's difficult to know where to start with The Cammidge Trophy at Doncaster however should it turn soft, as predicted, we have last years first and second in Jack Dexter and Captain Ramius. The latter is 5lb better off this time however Jack Dexter won with something in hand on the Soft last March and there's every chance he will do so again as he probably improved as the season went on.
One who could give them a run for the money is Tropics who is only lightly raced having only run 13 times and his last two wins have come on Good to Soft. His latest win was in the Group 3 Bengough Stakes at Ascot where he won some authority by three and a half lengths and he's not going to be crowded out here as he was at Ayr with only 9 other opponents.
Dinkum Diamond has only won at 5f previously and was pretty disappointing last season so not expecting him to be giving too much trouble.
Es Que Love has done most of his running over further and not sure this is the right race for him.
Heaven's Guest was at his best at the beginning of last season and he has form on Soft. Like Tropics he is lightly raced so is open to improvement. The Duke of York is the early season target so this may be a warm up for that.
Inxile hasn't won since 2012 and Jimmy Styles, although he still runs some good races, he is now 10.
Mass Rally was only beaten a head by Jack Dexter on levels in July on Good to Soft last season so he could be there or thereabouts and maybe the ew value.
Finally Maureen is another lightly raced sort with only 10 runs to her name but the last time she ran over 6f was when she was two.
At this stage, although it will all depend to some extent on the weather, I think it will be between Jack Dexter, Tropics, Heavens Guest and Captain Ramius.
William Hill Betting
Jack Dexter 9/4
Tropics 5/2
Maureen 11/2
Captain Ramius 10/1
Heavens Guest 10/1
Mass Rally 12/1
YEAR
WINNER
AGE
WGT
SP
TRAINER
JOCKEY
RPR
2013
Jack Dexter
4
9-5
15/8F
Jim Goldie
Graham Lee
110
2012
The Cheka
6
9-2
12/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Neil Callan
113
2011
Jimmy Styles
7
9-2
22/1
Clive Cox
Adam Kirby
111
2010
Inxile
5
9-5
17/2
David Nicholls
Paul Hanagan
111
2009
Prime Defender
5
9-2
3/1F
B W Hills
Michael Hills
112
2008
Aahayson
4
9-2
14/1
K R Burke
Fergus Sweeney
110
2007
Rising Shadow
6
9-5
13/2
David Barron
Jimmy Quinn
113
2006
Les Arcs
6
9-2
15/2
Tim Pitt
Neil Callan
116
2005
La Cucaracha
4
8-11
16/1
B W Hills
Michael Hills
103
2004
Goldeva
5
8-11
40/1
Reg Hollinshead
Tony Culhane
101
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